A few days before the start of the CrossFit Games, from Conento we offer a new analysis of the results of Regionals 2017. As informed some months ago, Conento supports CrossFit and we are working on some analytics projects in this field to apply the best analytic expertise to the people’s health and sport fields. In this occasion, one of the CrossFit competitions took place in Madrid, where we were analyzing the athletes. After watching them… ¿do you bet on the next podium of The fittest man / woman on Earth?
A total of 649 athletes took part in the CrossFit Regionals this year; 319 women and 330 men. From all of them, 200 athletes (31%) achieved to complete all 6 events.
The first number that strikes us is the following: 47% from all men participants, finished the 6 events in the time established, whereas only 14% (46 women) made it.Just the 47% from all men participants, finished the 6 events, and only 14% women made it.… Click To Tweet
That makes us formulate the first hypothesis: the events were more challenging for women than for men, and it seems that female adaptations were not enough to balance the results.
We are going to analyze later this hypothesis, but before let’s resume the results analysis from the 3 variables used in the previous Conento’s Open Games study; athlete’s age, height and weight.
Events for everyone
Considering the athletes who completed the 6 events, the average age of men’s athletes is 26 years old, measuring 189cm, and weighting 89kgs. On the women’s side, they are 28 years old, measure around 164cms, with a weight of 64kgs.
Therefore, men a stronger constitution (even, sticking to the famous BMI index would be classified as overweight) whereas women have a more balanced constitution.
Note: The impact of a variable is computed as the inverse correlation of athlete’s time results for each event. Reading example: Women’s height impacts negatively on the event 5 results, which it means, the greater an athlete height is, the worst time results gets on this event.
However, in a global perspective, the Regionals evens of this year were well-balanced in the sense that all type of athletes were favored by their constitution in some events… and penalized on others.
In more detail, the Regionals 2017 events can be classified in 3 groups:
- Events 1 and 5 favored the smaller and lighter athletes (Regionals started with an event 1 inspired on Murph and event 5 consisted on a classic 21-15-9 of ring muscle-ups and dumbbell overhead squats).
- Events 2 and 4 were not discriminatory, combining different elements to balance all variables.
- Events 3 and 6, however, rewarded the tallest and heaviest athletes; event 3 included, walking lunges, rope climbs and wallballs throws, whereas event 6 had bike cals, burpee box jump-overs and super heavy sandbag cleans.
That makes that during the three days of competition, the leaderboard on a constant tumbler, turning the last day into the crucial one. CrossFit organization seemed to be very aware of that so they programmed two complete opposite WoDs: event 5 was perfect for smaller athletes, whereas event 6 favored the largest athletes. Emotion to the very last second.
In Regionals, time event was a greater constraint for female athletes
Let’s return to the hypothesis formulated at the beginning of this article based on the imbalance between male athletes who completed all 6 events (47%) and the female ones who completed the event before the time cap.
Analyzing the results for both genders in each of the events, data shows a global pattern: men (red dots) were faster than women (blue dots). What make us think that the events were not scaled enough for women to pursue the equilibrium in time for all participants, as stated in one of the principles for scaling WoDs on women where all athletes should finish on a similar time range.
Time Results Comparison between Women and Men
No, weekend does not matter
The second hypothesis tested comes from one of the most generalized comments among CrossFit fans regarding the Regionals scheduling: does it really favors participating on the second or third weekend? are better the results of those athletes that supposedly have more time to train or prepare strategies?
In the following chart, we could observe the results fluctuation for the 6 events separated for each one of the three weekends, and definitively, it is not a relevant factor. We cannot appreciate, in global terms, notable differences on the time results for each event in the three weekends.
In those WoDs on which someone could design some sort of strategy, it could be observed a slightly better time results on the second and third weekend, however, on most WoDs is the athletes’ preparation what really makes the results.
Therefore, even it could be said that the athletes competing on the last weekend and make it to the Games, are more penalized with less Games preparation time that those competing in the first weekend.
Time Results Comparison among Weekends
Who have been, then, the best?
Considering the balance on event programming, and the fact that the weekend on which athletes competed did not affected on the results, from Conento we would like to offer an hypothetic table from what could have been the fittest Top40 men and women athletes who would have classified to the CrossFit Games, simulating that all of them would have participated simultaneously in a single competition.
Analyzing this results for region, we could see that Central and West regions for men and Meridian and Central for women are the most competitive ones and leave some athletes out from the Games.
¿Would it be necessary a review of the future Regionals competition system to select to the Games the really best athletes of each region, as similar to the UEFA Champions League system?
In any case, it’s time to enjoy the 2017 CrossFit Games and to wish a good luck to all competitors!
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